shaded boxes for confidence boundaries:
95%Framed box where the difference is significant with 95% confidence, light colour box elsewhere.50%/95%Framed box where the difference is significant with 95% confidence, light colour box for 50% confidence, grey elsewhere.95%/99.7%Framed box where the difference is significant with 99.7% confidence, light colour box for 95% confidence, grey elsewhere.(legend) ||
significance triangles ||
bars
||
sample sizeColour map showing the fraction of the actual number of scores to the theoretical maximum, derived from the total list of dates in the scorecard definition.
n.hemNHem Extratropics (lat 20.0 to 90.0, lon -180.0 to 180.0)
s.hemSHem Extratropics (lat -90.0 to -20.0, lon -180.0 to 180.0)
tropicsTropics (lat -20.0 to 20.0, lon -180.0 to 180.0)
europeEurope (lat 35.0 to 75.0, lon -12.5 to 42.5)
n.amerN America (lat 25.0 to 60.0, lon -120.0 to -75.0)
e.asiaE Asia (lat 25.0 to 60.0, lon 102.5 to 150.0)
arcticArctic (lat 60.0 to 90.0, lon -180.0 to 180.0)
antarcticAntarctic (lat -90.0 to -60.0, lon -180.0 to 180.0)
fcrpsFair continuous ranked probability score
spreadEnsemble spread
fcrpsFair continuous ranked probability score
spreadEnsemble spread
fcrpsFair continuous ranked probability score
spreadEnsemble spread
fcrpsFair continuous ranked probability score
spreadEnsemble spread
fcrpsFair continuous ranked probability score
spreadEnsemble spread
fcrpsFair continuous ranked probability score
spreadEnsemble spread
fcrpsFair continuous ranked probability score
spreadEnsemble spread
fcrpsFair continuous ranked probability score
spreadEnsemble spread
anagainst analyses
zGeopotential
100
250
500
850
mslMean sea level pressure
tTemperature
100
250
500
850
2t2 meter temperature
obagainst observations
2d2m dew point
tccTotal cloud cover
10ff10m wind speed
tpTotal precipitation
fcrps=Fair continuous ranked probability score,spread=Ensemble spread
Each error plot is converted into a sequence of symbols (e.g.
▼▽░█░△▲)
where each symbol indicates for given time step whether the experiment is significantly better or worse than the control on different confidence levels.
Different colours are used for symbols comparing control and experiment activity or spread: purple ▼ indicates the experiment is more active or has larger spread than the control and green ▲ the opposite.
Symbol legend: for a given forecast step... ▲ experiment better than control statistically significant with 99.7% confidence △ experiment better than control statistically significant with 95% confidence ░ experiment better than control statistically significant with 50% confidence █ not really any difference between control and experiment ░ experiment worse than control statistically significant with 50% confidence ▾ experiment worse than control statistically significant with 95% confidence ▼ experiment worse than control statistically significant with 99.7% confidence )
red = the experiment (esuite) is worse than the control. blue = the experiment (esuite) is better than control.
purple = the experiment is more active than the control. green = the experiment is less active than control.
Colour hue and saturation are proportional to normalised difference value.
A colour-framed cell indicate the differences are statistically significant on ??% confidence level.
However, where the differences are not significant on at least ??% level they are masked by a light grey box.
For more details:
Hover the mouse cursor over a cell and a small information window pops up with the difference values.
Click on a cell and a graph of normalized differences will show.